Using the Coordinated Withdrawal Strategy as a Buffer During an Economic Recession

Using the Coordinated Withdrawal Strategy as a Buffer During an Economic Recession

Retirement planning stands as a pivotal endeavor, demanding innovative approaches to ensure sustained financial stability during the later years of life. A strategy that has gained prominence in recent discussions is the Coordinated Withdrawal Strategy published in the Dec 2021 Journal of Financial Planning. This technique entails a distinctive withdrawal approach aimed at elongating the lifespan and prosperity of a retirement portfolio, with the added security net of a reverse mortgage. Let’s delve into the core components of this strategy and explore the potential advantages it brings to retirement planning.

Understanding the Coordinated Withdrawal Strategy

The essence of the coordinated withdrawal strategy lies in its adaptive withdrawal approach. This method deviates from the conventional fixed annual withdrawal, instead responding to the performance of the retiree’s investment portfolio each year. In prosperous market periods, the subsequent year’s withdrawal originates from the investment portfolio. Conversely, during years characterized by market downturns, the annual withdrawal is momentarily deferred, and the necessary funds are sourced from a designated buffer asset.

The Buffer Asset – Leveraging a Reverse Mortgage

Central to the coordinated withdrawal strategy is the buffer asset – a versatile income source designed to relieve the portfolio during market fluctuations. The reverse mortgage emerges as an ideal buffer asset in this context. This preference is justified by several compelling factors. Foremost, reverse mortgage proceeds are not taxed as income, rendering them an appealing tax-efficient income solution. Furthermore, the absence of mandatory monthly repayments transforms the reverse mortgage into a cashflow-positive tool, offering vital financial support during challenging economic periods.

Exploring Reverse Mortgages

The reverse mortgage, a financial instrument tailored to retirees, empowers homeowners aged 55+ to convert a portion of their home equity into liquid funds. A distinctive feature of reverse mortgages is that borrowers are not obliged to make regular monthly mortgage payments. Instead, repayment occurs when the homeowner vacates the property, sells it, or passes away- these are known as maturity events. This setup provides retirees the means to access home equity without altering their living situation significantly.

Fostering Sustainable Portfolio Growth

The paramount objective of the coordinated withdrawal strategy is to safeguard and nurture portfolio growth. By strategically diverting withdrawals away from the portfolio during market downturns, the strategy aims to preserve the portfolio’s value, setting the stage for recovery when markets rebound. This approach positions retirees for potentially enhanced long-term growth, reinforcing their financial stability in retirement.

Validated Success and Risk Mitigation

Advocates of the coordinated withdrawal strategy underscore its impressive success rates. Rigorous simulations indicate that this strategy holds the potential to extend the life and prosperity of a securities portfolio throughout a 30-year retirement period. Monte Carlo simulations, a robust analytical technique, have lent credibility to this assertion. Moreover, this strategy significantly diminishes retirees’ vulnerability to market volatility, potentially offering a more secure retirement outlook. From an article published by “When it comes to extending the life and growth of a portfolio of securities, this strategy has nearly a 95% success rate, which was determined after 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations in a prior study. The impact on portfolio growth can best be summarized by directly quoting the study:

Thus, using as the growth rate an estimate of the current rate of interest applicable to a reverse mortgage, it is reasonable to estimate that the retiree who takes advantage of the “distribution-skipping” strategy explored in this example would have cash flow throughout a 30-year retirement and a legacy substantially greater than a retiree who does not take advantage of such a strategy.

The risk reduction identified in this new study is one of the most significant findings since the introduction of modern portfolio theory in 1952. This coordinated withdrawal strategy reduces the retiree’s exposure to volatile markets by nearly 10 times. The study states that this change in risk is very significant and has fiduciary implications for advisors and their firms. Factor in the trend of a more positive correlation between stocks and bonds, versus the historical negative correlation (See Bloomberg 7/9/21), and the need to offset retirement plan risk becomes even greater.”

Impact on Financial Advisors

The ramifications of the coordinated withdrawal strategy reverberate through the financial advisory landscape, prompting advisors to reassess their fiduciary responsibilities. As a strategy designed to optimize client outcomes and minimize risk exposure, it compels advisors to adopt this innovative approach to secure their client’s financial futures. In the context of evolving market dynamics and shifting correlations between asset classes, this strategy could potentially reshape the paradigms of retirement planning and risk management.

a man and a woman holding blue coffee cups together while raking leaves in a grass covered yard in front of a white house with trees.

The coordinated withdrawal strategy, complemented by the reverse mortgage buffer, introduces a novel dimension to retirement income optimization. By adapting withdrawal strategies to the ever-changing market landscape and harnessing the power of reverse mortgages as buffer assets, retirees can potentially weather financial uncertainties while fostering portfolio growth. It is crucial to underscore that the appropriateness of this strategy hinges on individual circumstances, necessitating expert guidance from a qualified financial advisor and reverse mortgage expert to tailor it to distinct retirement goals and aspirations.

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At the conclusion of a reverse mortgage, the borrower must repay the loan and may have to sell the home or repay the loan from other proceeds; charges will be assessed with the loan, including an origination fee, closing costs, mortgage insurance premiums and servicing fees; the loan balance grows over time and interest is charged on the outstanding balance; the borrower remains responsible for property taxes, hazard insurance and home maintenance, and failure to pay these amounts may result in the loss of the home; interest on a reverse mortgage is not tax deductible until the borrower makes partial or full re-payment.